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BruniBetting: Mesa Grill

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Tomorrow, Frank Bruni reviews Mesa Grill, Bobby Flay's flagship Southwestern restaurant on lower Fifth Avenue. Today, the Eater oddsmakers have set the action as follows:

Zero Stars: 3-1 ??
One Star: 2-1
Two Stars: 5-1
Three Stars: 75-1
Four Stars: 25,000-1
Mesa Grill opened in 1991 and was last reviewed in 2000, at which time Bill Grimes gave it two stars. First things first: there are only two reasonable bets this week, being either zero or one star for Mesa Grill. There is no reason to review if only to reaffirm a deuce to a famous, and famously tourist-swamped, restaurant. Further, and as a point of fact, the restaurant does not aspire to hold more than a deuce—and that's a good thing, because it's mediocre on a good day. That being said, the question is how much Bruni disliked the neglected restaurant and how much of a slap he's willing to give Bobby Flay. Reasonable bettors will agree that that, statistically speaking, the most likely outcome is a one star review that reads like a zilcher, while aggressive players will take the zero star action and hope for a real bloodbath. End of the day decision making for Eater has us firing up the goose train, because, unfortunately, the restaurant is a pitiful shell of its former self and has been asking for a beating for the better part of a decade. Either way, make yourself comfortable, because this is going to be a good show.
· Mesa Grill [NYT; after 8:00 PM]

?? denotes the Eater bet.

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